The
Ukrainian conflict began exactly one year ago today; politicians and political
analysts are still undecided about Russian President Vladimir Putin’s end goal.
Whatever his plan, Putin appears to being winning.
Only a few days ago in Debaltseve, Ukraine, yet
another cease-fire fell through between Ukrainian forces and the Russian-backed
rebels, this time lasting only 40 minutes, according to the Wall Street Journal.
It
is not clear who first violated the cease-fire; both sides blamed the other. Putin
demanded that, as the outskirts of the town were controlled by rebels, Ukraine retreat
from the area; Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko disagreed, arguing that his
forces were in control of the area, and called for the rebels to respect the
cease-fire agreement.
Last
week Putin won as separatists reclaimed Debaltseve.
“Western officials said the continued fighting
could indicate that Mr. Putin favors a simmering conflict – one that he can
ignite at any time to impede Ukraine’s attempts to move toward the North
Atlantic Treaty Association,” reported the Wall Street Journal.
However,
the head of Russia's independent Council for Foreign and Defense
Policy think tank Sergei Karaganov believes that Putin’s aims are more serious
than simply preventing Ukraine from joining NATO.
“After
winning the Cold War, the whole of Europe is losing it now….And
it is entering the next phase of international relations disunited,
again on the verge of confrontation or even a major war,”
Karaganov wrote for the Russian newspaper Rossiiskaya Gazeta.
What
will Putin do? Apparently, only time will tell....Preferably before the Ukraine
goes bankrupt.